Germany Producer Prices Decline In October

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Germany Producer Prices Decline In October

Germany's Producer Prices Decline 11% In October

According to the data from federal statistics (Germany), a decline was seen in the producer prices from Germany. This is a continuation of the negative trend that started back in September 2023.

Overall, an 11% decline on a Y/Y basis took place in the producer prices, which was mostly in line with the market forecasts.

Energy Prices Down By 27.9%

One particular thing to note was that the energy prices also declined on a yearly basis by 27.9%. When we look at the past, it becomes clear that a decline of this scale was out of the ordinary.

That's why the recent decline in energy prices is also one of the major reasons behind the drop in producer prices. And if we exclude the energy prices, the final reading for the producer prices shows a 0.2% jump when compared with October 2022.

When compared with the producer prices reading in September, the decline was 0.1%, which also shows a downward trend.

In addition, the inflation reading in Germany has also declined to 3.80% from an earlier reading of 4.50%. Although the producer prices and the inflation reading are separate, they do show a correlation. So, if we say that the decline in the producer prices will also start to show its effect in the inflation reading, it wouldn't be wrong at all.

To conclude, the recent economic data coming from Germany is promising and reveals that the monetary policy has started to show its effects on the economy. With only 2 more months left in 2023, it would be interesting to see how the year ends in terms of inflation, interest rates, and producer prices.

The winter season in Germany is in full swing now, which will likely increase energy consumption as well. With a sudden increase in the demand, there's a chance that the energy prices might increase as well. In that case, the producer prices may register a sudden jump in November and December.

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