The governor of the Irish Central Bank has recently warned the government against the risks of overspending. They added that the government is over-stimulating the economy, which will lead to multiple headwinds.
They commented on how the government is in the wrong place when it comes to spending. Gabriel Makhlouf made these comments just after the government announced its plans for the pre-budget.
The new plans will increase the day-to-day spending by almost 6.4%. However, it's worth noting that it was around 8 to 9% before.
Makhlouf said that the economy is currently operating at full employment. At times like this, it can be risky to add more stimulus as it's not needed at all.
He recommended that the government reconsider its planning for spending and also highlighted the associated risks.
The government has recently announced that it will be cutting the 2026 package of spending increases and tax cuts. However, this would only happen if the US tariffs on the country are above the 10% threshold.
Meanwhile, the US government has reached an agreement with the European Union over the trade issue. Now, the US government will be collecting a tariff of 15% on the majority of the EU goods.
Given the changed situation, the governor is hopeful that the government will once again reflect on its spending plans.
From the looks of it, it appears that the government is trying to shield the economy from the US tariffs. However, it can be dangerous given that full employment has already been achieved.
In fact, overspending in the economy will lead to higher inflation. The end result of this practice will be higher interest rates in Ireland!
At a time like this, the last thing the government would want is to get back on the rate hike train once again. In fact, doing so will have long-lasting effects on the economy.