The latest data from Australia reveals that the GDP growth during Q2 2023 was around 0.4%. This comes as the Australian economy is going through infrastructure spending and strong exports.
In addition, the high interest rates have also dented inflation and made it turn lower. However, the high-interest rates have offset the positive effects of strong exports and spending on infrastructure.
The economists were looking for a 0.3% growth, while the actual GDP growth during Q2 turned out to be 0.4% (0.1% higher). During Q1 2023, the GDP growth was 0.2%, which once again proves the recent reading was positive.
If we look at Australia's GDP growth on an annual basis, it was around 2.1%, which is higher than the 1.7% forecast. Similarly, the annual GDP growth during Q1 2023 was near 2.3% which is a little higher than the Q2 GDP growth.
For the most part, the GDP data was above expectations, but it also showed that growth remains subdued. That's why it wouldn't be wrong to say that Q2 was a continuation of Q1, as the Australian economy faces a high interest rate environment and high inflation.
The inflation in Australia reached its peak in June and has since moved down. As a result, the RBA is now hesitant to introduce new rate hikes, but we can't ignore the fact that interest rates remain very high.
One of the biggest factors that helped the GDP growth move into positive territory was the positive trade balance. During Q2, the prices of exports experienced a downturn but still managed to support the economy. In addition, foreign tourists also helped Australia to achieve a trade surplus during Q2.
Looking ahead, any big changes in GDP growth will remain out of the question until the RBA introduces rate cuts. After all, a high-interest rate environment isn't ideal for manufacturing and other sectors of the economy.