The US market has numerous headwinds in a row, but continues to defy the common logic. This includes rising gold prices, geopolitical tension, and everything going on in the bond market.
Despite all the things going on in the US markets, the Nasdaq 100 and the S&P 500 are at record highs. This makes one wonder if the current rally in the US stock market is based on hopes alone, or is there a more concrete risk?
There are many issues on a global scale which can reverse this rally in the stock markets. From the Middle East conflict to the disruption in the supply chains, there's a lot to consider.
Many will say that the tension in the Middle East has ended, but we can't be certain, as anything can spark once again. And we don't have to say it out loud that all of these are bad things for the market.
Meanwhile, the US-China relations remain tense as usual, which can risk the supply of rare earth metals. In turn, this could disrupt the production of everything, including EV cars, laptops, and phones.
One factor which hints at the market uncertainty is the Gold prices. If everything were truly calm, gold wouldn't be moving so high at all.
In reality, Gold is surging high, which is a sign that the markets are going through a period of unrest. Amidst this, Trump is also planning to put a 20% tax on the US bonds.
With so much going on, it's better to play it safe and not invest heavily in the US stock markets. Especially, caution should be taken on buying any stock at the current high levels.
To offset the risk, investors should also start looking at foreign markets to adjust the returns and the risks associated with investing.