The S&P 500 is trading in green YTD and has already recovered its losses from April. Given all the price swings in the S&P 500, that's a feat in itself.
Looking ahead, experts believe that selective caution is needed from the S&P 500 traders. Why? The Gold is trading at record highs which is a sign that investors are flocking towards safe-haven assets.
This also means investors are worried about the global outlook. Now, that's a clear sign that not everything is smooth for the S&P 500 going forward.
Meanwhile, the US Dollar is also weak on fears that the US economy will enter into recession. All of this tells us that the investors are still not confident about the state of the US economy.
All of this shows that the recent upside rally in the S&P 500 will be short-lived. In fact, the recent earnings release was also mostly mixed with nothing special.
So moving forward, the uncertainty remains a dominant theme which will continue to haunt the S&P 500 index. But despite this, there are still many US stocks which are undervalued and present a good opportunity.
As of now, a lot of businesses are caught in the middle as they navigate the tariff situation. One company that would get hit the most is Apple, as they have a manufacturing facility in China.
But some experts believe that the situation for Apple is not as bad as some investors are forecasting. But we will have to wait and see the results from next quarter to confirm.
To conclude, the investors were too early to celebrate the temporary pause in the tariff wars. Going forward, the S&P 500 will remain under pressure & may even close the year in the red. Why? From trade tariffs to recession risks, there's a lot to unpack here.
But, this also means that investors can find opportunities in individual stocks that will not be impacted by the ongoing tariff issues.