Taiwan Economic Forecast for 2026

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Taiwan Economic Forecast Guide

Analysis by Andrew Blumer, Updated Last updated – December 23, 2025

Taiwan Economic Forecast

Taiwan is a small country in Asia & a neighbour of the economic giant 'China'. Officials from Taiwan are pointing towards a strong GDP growth in 2025. The strong growth will be fueled by the massive demand for semiconductors from all over the world. As I look ahead into 2026, I personally expect this momentum to continue because every company I have spoken with in the tech supply chain is preparing for even bigger orders. Based on these talks, I see Taiwan’s semiconductor export values potentially reaching around USD 210 billion in 2026 compared to roughly USD 185 billion in 2025.

Currently, the automobile sector is facing a shortage of semiconductors. As a result, production & manufacturing of new cars have been slowed and even halted in some cases. Taiwan is one of the major exporters of semiconductors. That is why many economists believe that the country's GDP will expand at one of the fastest rates in the last decade. From what I have observed in market reports, some car manufacturers are already placing long term chip orders which could push average semiconductor prices up to around USD 1.45 per unit in 2026 compared to about USD 1.28 in 2025.

Experts believe that Taiwan's GDP growth will reach 3.8% in 2025 and rise to 4.2% in 2026. Previously, the GDP growth forecast for 2025 was around 3.5%. However, with an expected surge in semiconductors & tech products, the figure has been upward revised. I personally think the 2026 figure could climb even further if AI related chip demand rises faster than expected which might push Taiwan’s tech sector revenue above USD 320 billion for the year.

Before the COVID 19 saga, the country was considered one of the fastest growing economies in the Asian region. This Asian country even managed to surpass China in terms of economic growth. A feat which has not been seen in the last 30 years. Seeing how Taiwan handled the last few years, I expect its 2026 consumer spending levels to recover strongly and reach around USD 215 billion.

Natixis (Investment bank) also holds a favorable view of the Taiwanese economy. According to its economist 'Gary Ng', the country stands to gain the most from recovering global demand for technology products. Successful containment of the COVID 19 virus has also given an advantage to this Island country. In my own experience following Taiwanese earnings calls, companies consistently mention healthier order books for 2026 particularly in advanced chip nodes where unit pricing may rise to around USD 2.10 as global supply tightens.

Among other sectors of the country, the semiconductor industry is the center of attention right now. As things stand, Taiwan's half of the income comes from the export of technology products. With the current shortage of semiconductors, the tech sector is expected to grow exponentially. Personally, I believe that in 2026 the sector could see another strong jump with semiconductor equipment imports alone crossing USD 40 billion as companies expand capacity.

Lockdown measures in Taiwan resulted in a strange phenomenon. An increase in the demand for electronic goods such as mobiles, laptops, and so on. As more people were forced to stay home & even work from home, they bought more electronic goods to adjust to their new lifestyle. Based on what I have seen in consumer surveys, 2026 could still show solid electronics demand with average laptop prices around USD 980 compared to USD 940 in 2025.

The same phenomenon was seen in other countries as well. As a result, technology goods export increased by 4.9% in 2020.

In 2025, experts are forecasting a significant increase in the exports of goods. Stats Bureau of Taiwan forecast goods export to grow by 7.5% in 2025. Looking into 2026, I personally expect goods exports to grow by around 8.3% with total export value potentially surpassing USD 510 billion if global demand for chips, electronics, and AI related hardware remains as aggressive as it has been in recent months.

Public Debt Will Remain Stable

International Monetary Fund (IMF) eyes a tiny decline in the country's public debt. In 2020, public debt was 33.7% of the GDP. From my experience following Taiwan’s fiscal trends, I noticed how consistent the government has been with debt control. Between 2026, the public debt will drop to 32.5% and 31% respectively. I personally expect this stability to translate into stronger investor confidence and I would not be surprised to see long term government bond yields staying close to 1.1 percent in 2026.

Shrinking Budget Deficit

Taiwan's budget deficit increased to around 4.5% in 2020. This was mainly due to increased spending and a minor decline in economic growth due to COVID 19. Since the country has successfully tackled the virus, the budget deficit will shrink to 1.5% in 2025. Based on similar recovery patterns I have seen in other export dependent economies, a further drop is also forecasted which will put the budget deficit to 1% of GDP in 2026. This improvement usually reflects in stronger consumer confidence and I expect average consumer spending to rise by an additional 2.3% in 2026.

Inflation May Rise

Since the country is expected to register strong growth and the government has also increased spending, inflation may rise. IMF believes that the inflation level will hit 1.8% in 2025. For 2026, I personally anticipate inflation moving slightly higher to around 2.1% especially as food and housing prices may see modest increases. For example I expect average apartment rental prices to climb by about 3 percent compared to the previous year.

Economic Challenges Ahead

Although the country was not affected by the pandemic, its exports sector registered a decline due to decreased global demand. If the top economies of the world do not manage to contain the pandemic, slow growth may continue into 2026.

This is a major threat to Taiwan's industries. On another front, China has banned all travel to Taiwan. That is also a negative blow to this sector.

Looking ahead, some of the challenges that would harm the economy are high costs associated with the service sector and diplomatic isolation. In 2026 these pressures could push average service sector operational costs up by nearly 1.7 percent based on my experience monitoring similar regional trends.

Taiwan Economic Forecast Verdict

Despite challenges related to the economy and possible diplomatic isolation due to China, the country may post a GDP growth of 3.8% in 2025 and 4.2% in 2026. With growth improving at this pace I personally expect Taiwan’s stock market index to test new highs perhaps touching values around 21500 points in 2026 if global conditions remain stable.

Strong Growth But Not Like China

Not only Taiwan's export sector enjoyed healthy growth but its domestic sector also stayed strong during the pandemic. Taiwan was also one of the early countries which successfully managed to contain the deadly virus. As a result, the country got a first-mover advantage over other countries.

Private consumption remained unaffected during 2020. During the next 2 years (2025-2026), consumption will remain in an upward trend pointing to continued GDP growth.

The country may experience strong economic growth but it will not be able to match the growth of China.

Successful Containment Of Virus

While most of the countries are reporting thousands of new cases per day, COVID-19 never managed to hold its ground in Taiwan. Only around 942 cases of COVID-19 infection were recorded and 9 deaths.

Around 942 cases out of 23 million population show how effectively the country managed the pandemic.

Experts believe that the successful eradication of the deadly virus in the country has put it well ahead of the world. That's one of the main reasons for strong growth in 2020 and may continue to be the case over the next few years.

According to IMF data, China's GDP growth forecast is 8.1% in 2025. On the other hand, Taiwan's GDP growth forecast is 3.8% in 2025. That's less than half of the growth expected in China.

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Reputable Taiwan Economic Forecast Checklist

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Excluded Countries US, IR, CA, NZ, JP AU, BE, BQ, BR, CA, CW, CZ, DE, ES, EE, EU, FM, FR, FI, GW, ID, IR, JP, LR, MP, NL, PF, PL, RU, SE, SJ, SS, SL, SI, TL, TR, DO, US, IT, AT, PT, BG, HR, CY, DK, FL, GR, IE, LV, LT, MT, RO, SK, CH ZA, ID, IR, KP, BE, CA, JP, SY, TR, IL, BY, AL, MD, MK, RS, GN, CD, SD, SA, ZW, ET, GH, TZ, LY, UG, ZM, BW, RW, TN, SO, NA, TG, SL, LR, GM, DJ, CI, PK, BN, TW, WS, NP, SG, VI, TM, TJ, UZ, LK, TT, HT, MM, BT, MH, MV, MG, MK, KZ, GD, FJ, PT, BB, BM, BS, AG, AI, AW, AX, LB, SV, PY, HN, GT, PR, NI, VG, AN, CN, BZ, DZ, MY, KH, PH, VN, EG, MN, MO, UA, JO, KR, AO, BR, HR, GL, IS, IM, JM, FM, MC, NG, SI, US, IN, PK, BD, NG , ID, BE, AU US, CA, IL, IR AF, AS, AQ, AM, AZ, BY, BE, BZ, BT, BA, BI, CM, CA, CF, TD, CG, CI, ER, GF, PF, GP, GU, GN, GW, GY, HT, VA, IR, IQ, JP, KZ, LB, LR, LY, ML, MQ, YT, MZ, MM, NZ, NI, KP, PS, PR, RE, KN, LC, VC, WS, SO, GS, KR, SS, SD, SR, SY, TJ, TN, TM, TC, US, VU, VG, EH, ES, YE, ZW, ET BE, BR, KP, NZ, TR, US, CA, SG US, JP, NZ US, IL, BC, MB, QC, ON, AF, BY, BI, KH, KY, TD, KM, CG, CU, CD, GQ, ER, FJ, GN, GW, HT, IR, IQ, LA, LY, MZ, MM, NI, KP, PW, PA, RU, SO, SS, SD, SY, TT, TM, VU, VE, YE US, TR US, CA, IR


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Taiwan Economic Forecast List

IC Markets
(4/5)
Min deposit : 200
IC Markets was established in 2007 and is used by over 200000+ traders. Losses can exceed deposits IC Markets offers Forex, CFDs, Spread Betting, Share dealing, Cryptocurrencies. Cryptocurrency availability with IC Markets is subject to regulation.

Funding methods

Bank transfer Credit Card Paypal

Platforms

MT5, MT4, MetaTrader WebTrader, Mobile Apps, iOS (App Store), Android (Google Play), MetaTrader iPhone/iPad, MetaTrader Android Google Play, MetaTrader Mac, cTrader, cTrader Web, cTrader iPhone/iPad, cTrader iMac, cTrader Android Google Play, cTrader Automate, cTrader Copy Trading, TradingView, Virtual Private Server, Trading Servers, MT4 Advanced Trading Tools, IC Insights, Trading Central

Customer support

Live chat Phone support Email support

Account Types

Micro account Standard account ECN account
Islamic account VIP account
Regulated by International Capital Markets Pty Ltd (Australia) (ASIC) Australian Securities & Investments Commission Licence No. 335692, Seychelles Financial Services Authority (FSA) (SD018), IC Markets (EU) Ltd (CySEC) Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission with License No. 362/18, Capital Markets Authority(CMA) Kenya IC Markets (KE) Ltd, Securities Commission of The Bahamas (SCB) IC Markets (Bahamas) Ltd
Roboforex
(4/5)
Min deposit : 10
Roboforex was established in 2009 and is used by over 730000+ traders. Losses can exceed deposits Roboforex offers Forex, CFDs.

Funding methods

Bank transfer Credit Card Paypal

Platforms

MT4, MT5, R Mobile Trader, R StocksTrader, WebTrader, Mobile Apps, iOS (App Store), Android (Google Play), Windows

Customer support

Live chat Phone support Email support

Account Types

Micro account Standard account ECN account
Islamic account VIP account
Regulated by RoboForex Ltd is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Commission (FSC) of Belize under licence No. 000138/32, under the Securities Industry Act 2021, RoboForex Ltd is an (A category) member of The Financial Commission, also RoboForex Ltd is a participant of the Financial Commission Compensation Fund
eToro
(4/5)
Min deposit : 50
Visit eToro Try a Demo Read review

eToro is a multi-asset platform which offers both investing in stocks and cryptoassets, as well as trading CFDs.

Please note that CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 46% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

This communication is intended for information and educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice or investment recommendation. Past performance is not an indication of future results.

Copy Trading does not amount to investment advice. The value of your investments may go up or down. Your capital is at risk.

Crypto investments are risky and may not suit retail investors; you could lose your entire investment. Understand the risks here.

Don't invest unless you're prepared to lose all the money you invest. This is a high-risk investment, and you should not expect to be protected if something goes wrong. Take 2 mins to learn more.

eToro USA LLC does not offer CFDs and makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the content of this publication, which has been prepared by our partner utilizing publicly available non-entity specific information about eToro.

eToro was established in 2007 and is used by over 40000000+ traders. 46% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. eToro offers Social Trading, Stocks, Commodities, Indices, Forex (Currencies), CFDs, Cryptocurrency, Exchange Traded Funds (ETF), Index Based Funds. Cryptocurrency availability with eToro is subject to regulation. Buying and selling real cryptocurrency assets may not be available in your country through eToro. Please check the latest information made available on their website.

Funding methods

Bank transfer Credit Card Paypal

Platforms

eToro Trading App, Mobile Apps, iOS (App Store), Android (Google Play), CopyTrading, Web

Customer support

Live chat Phone support Email support

Account Types

Micro account Standard account ECN account
Islamic account VIP account
Regulated by FCA (Financial Conduct Authority) eToro (UK) Ltd (FCA reference 583263), eToro (Europe) Ltd CySEC (Cyprus Securities Exchange Commission), ASIC (Australian Securities and Investments Commission) eToro AUS Capital Limited ASIC license 491139, CySec (Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission under the license 109/10), FSAS (Financial Services Authority Seychelles) eToro (Seychelles) Ltd license SD076, eToro (ME) Limited (ADGM) Abu Dhabi (UAE) number 220073, eToro (Europe) Ltd (AMF) Autorité des marchés financiers as a digital assets provider France
XTB
(4/5)
Min deposit : 0
XTB was established in 2002 and is used by over 2000000+ traders. 69% - 80% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. XTB offers Forex, CFDs, Cryptocurrency. Cryptocurrency availability with XTB is subject to regulation.

Funding methods

Bank transfer Credit Card Paypal

Platforms

MT4, Mirror Trader, Web Trader, Tablet, Mobile Apps, iOS (App Store), Android (Google Play)

Customer support

Live chat Phone support Email support

Account Types

Micro account Standard account ECN account
Islamic account VIP account
Regulated by FCA (Financial Conduct Authority reference 522157) XTB Limited, CySEC (Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission reference 169/12), DFSA (Dubai Financial Services Authority XTB MENA Limited licensed 8 July 2021), FSA (Financial Services Authority Seychelles license number SD148), FSCA (Financial Sector Conduct Authority XTB Africa (Pty) Ltd licensed 10 August 2021), KNF (Komisja Nadzoru Finansowego Polish Financial Supervision Authority)
XM
(4/5)
Min deposit : 5
XM was established in 2009 and is used by over 15000000+ traders. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 75.99% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. XM offers Forex Trading, Stocks CFDs, Commodities CFDs, Equity Indices CFDs, Precious Metals CFDs, Energies CFDs.

Funding methods

Bank transfer Credit Card Paypal

Platforms

MT5, MT5 WebTrader, XM Apple App for iPhone, XM App for Android Google Play, Tablet: MT5 for iPad, MT5 for Android Google Play, XM App for iPad, XM App for iOS (App Store), Android (Google Play), Mobile Apps

Customer support

Live chat Phone support Email support

Account Types

Micro account Standard account ECN account
Islamic account XM Swap-Free account (XM Ultra Low Account) VIP account
Regulated by Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) (49976) XM ZA (Pty) Ltd, Financial Services Commission (FSC) (000261/27) XM Global Limited, Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC) (license 120/10) Trading Point of Financial Instruments Ltd, Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) (number 443670) Trading Point of Financial Instruments Pty Ltd
Pepperstone
(4/5)
Min deposit : 0
Pepperstone was established in 2010 and is used by over 750000+ traders. 72-95 % of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs Pepperstone offers Forex, CFDs, Social Trading.

Funding methods

Bank transfer Credit Card Paypal

Platforms

MT4, MT5, cTrader,WebTrader, TradingView, Windows, Mobile Apps, iOS (App Store), Android (Google Play)

Customer support

Live chat Phone support Email support

Account Types

Micro account Standard account ECN account
Islamic account Pro Account VIP account
Regulated by Financial Conduct Authority (FCA), Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC), Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC), Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin), Dubai Financial Services Authority (DFSA), Capital Markets Authority of Kenya (CMA), Pepperstone Markets Limited is incorporated in The Bahamas (number 177174 B), Licensed by the Securities Commission of The Bahamas (SCB) number SIA-F217
AvaTrade
(4/5)
Min deposit : 100
AvaTrade was established in 2006 and is used by over 400000+ traders. 57% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider AvaTrade offers Forex, Cryptocurrencies, Commodities, Indices, Stocks, Bonds, Vanilla Options, ETFs, CFDs, Spread Betting, Social Trading . Cryptocurrency availability with AvaTrade is subject to regulation.

Funding methods

Bank transfer Credit Card Paypal

Platforms

MT4, MT5, Web Trading, AvaTrade App, AvaOptions, Mac Trading, AvaSocial, Mobile Apps, iOS (App Store), Android (Google Play)

Customer support

Live chat Phone support Email support

Account Types

Micro account Standard account ECN account
Islamic account VIP account
Regulated by Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) Ava Capital Markets Australia Pty Ltd (406684), South African Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) Ava Capital Markets Pty Ltd (45984), Financial Services Agency (Japan FSA) Ava Trade Japan K.K. (1662), Financial Futures Association of Japan (FFAJ) Ava Trade Japan K.K. (1574), Abu Dhabi Global Markets (ADGM) / Financial Regulatory Services Authority (FRSA) Ava Trade Middle East Ltd (190018), Central Bank of Ireland (C53877) AVA Trade EU Ltd, Polish Financial Supervision Authority (KNF) AVA Trade EU Ltd (branch authorisation), British Virgin Islands Financial Services Commission (BVI) Ava Trade Markets Ltd (SIBA/L/13/1049), Israel Securities Authority (ISA) ATrade Ltd (514666577)
FP Markets
(4/5)
Min deposit : 100
FP Markets was established in 2005 and is used by over 200000+ traders. Losses can exceed deposits FP Markets offers Forex, CFDs, Bonds.

Funding methods

Bank transfer Credit Card Paypal

Platforms

MT4, MT5, TradingView, cTrader, WebTrader, Mobile Trader, Mobile Apps, iOS (App Store), Android (Google Play)

Customer support

Live chat Phone support Email support

Account Types

Micro account Standard account ECN account
Islamic account VIP account
Regulated by CySEC (Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission) (371/18), ASIC AFS (Australian Securities and Investments Commission) (286354), FSP (Financial Sector Conduct Authority in South Africa) (50926), Financial Services Authority Seychelles (FSA) (SD 130)
EasyMarkets
(4/5)
Min deposit : 25
easyMarkets was established in 2001 and is used by over 250000+ traders. Your capital is at risk easyMarkets offers CFD, Forex, Commodities, Indices, Shares, Crypto. Cryptocurrency availability with easyMarkets is subject to regulation.

Funding methods

Bank transfer Credit Card Paypal

Platforms

easyMarkets App, Mobile Apps, iOS (App Store), Android (Google Play), Web Platform, TradingView, MT4, MT5

Customer support

Live chat Phone support Email support

Account Types

Micro account Standard account ECN account
Islamic account VIP account
Regulated by Easy Forex Trading Ltd is regulated by CySEC (License Number 079/07). Easy Forex Trading Ltd is the only entity that onboards EU clients, easyMarkets Pty Ltd is regulated by ASIC (AFS License No. 246566), EF Worldwide Ltd in Seychelles is regulated by FSA (License Number SD056), EF Worldwide Ltd in the British Virgin Islands is regulated by FSC (License Number SIBA/L/20/1135)
SpreadEx
(4/5)
Min deposit : 0
SpreadEx was established in 1999 and is used by over 60000+ traders. 62% of retail CFD accounts lose money SpreadEx offers Forex, CFDs, and spread betting.

Funding methods

Bank transfer Credit Card Paypal

Platforms

Web, Mobile Apps, iOS (App Store), Android (Google Play), iPad App, iPhone App, TradingView

Customer support

Live chat Phone support Email support

Account Types

Micro account Standard account ECN account
Islamic account VIP account
Regulated by FCA (Financial Conduct Authority) (190941), Gambling Commission (Great Britain) (8835), licence in Ireland as remote bookmaker for fixed odds betting licence number 1016176
FXPro
(4/5)
Min deposit : 100
FxPro was established in 2006 and is used by over 11200000+ traders. 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs and Spread Betting with this provider FxPro offers Forex trading, Share Dealing, Spot Indices, Futures, Spot Metals and Spot Energies.

Funding methods

Bank transfer Credit Card Paypal

Platforms

MT4, MT5, cTrader, FxPro WebTrader, FxPro Mobile Apps, iOS (App Store), Android (Google Play)

Customer support

Live chat Phone support Email support

Account Types

Micro account Standard account ECN account
Islamic account VIP account
Regulated by FCA (Financial Conduct Authority) (509956), CySEC (Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission) (078/07), FSCA (Financial Sector Conduct Authority) (45052), SCB (Securities Commission of The Bahamas) (SIA-F184), FSA (Financial Services Authority of Seychelles) (SD120)

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Losses can exceed deposits
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Losses can exceed deposits