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Before we look at whether the US market has bottomed out, we need to understand what exactly is meant by the term 'bottoming out'. This term is usually used when the market ends its bearish trend and enters into a consolidation phase before moving higher. When this happens, we can say that the market has bottomed out and ended its bearish trend.
In the year 2020, the DJIA index gained about +2000 points and, as usual, attracted the attention of many analysts who declared that the US market had found a base and bottomed out.
If we look at the history, markets usually bounce once the technical readings reach such extreme levels. Now in case of bottoming out, the extreme readings are usually in the oversold area. Once the technical readings reach extreme levels, it becomes clear that the market will bounce back sharply and could trap a lot of the short-sellers on their way up.
If we apply the Elliott Wave Theory, which is composed of a total of 5 waves, then the third wave completion time would be about March 23rd.
It does not matter which stock you have in your portfolio; it will surely belong to a category within one of the sectors of the stock market such as engineering, technology, pharma, retail, and so on. To make it easy for the investors, the stock market management usually groups stocks from similar categories into the appropriate sectors.
One of the easiest ways to figure out a bottom for any specific stock is to look at the performance of its respective sector. If the overall sector is down, then the specific stock will also stay in a bearish trend. Similarly, if the entire stock market is down, then your specific stock will be bearish too.
The effect of the overall stock market trend as well as the sector-specific trend can tell you a lot about any specific stock in the stock market.
So the first step to finding the bottom of any stock is to find out which sector it belongs to. If it belongs to the technology sector, then you will look at the other participants of that sector or an index that specifically monitors the technology sector. If any bullish signs appear in the technology sector, then there is a good chance that your stock will also bottom out and enter into bullish territory.
In 2008 during the financial crisis, the sector that was most affected was the financial sector. During that time, all the financial companies entered into bearish territory together and stayed in that territory for a very long time. If you look at the performance of most financial stocks during that time, they followed in each other's footsteps. If you also look at the recovery of the different financial stocks, you will realise that they followed the overall performance of the financial sector!
Once the stock sector is identified, we can move on to the price and volume. If you see that the concerned sector is recovering, it means you can open the chart of your specific stock and start looking for the signs of a bottom out.
If you start to see green candles, it means the number of buyers has increased compared to the number of sellers. In short, there are fewer people who are selling that specific stock.
Then look at the volume associated with each bullish candle as well as each bearish candle. If you see an increased volume on the green candles and reduced volume in the bearish candles, it means the volume is also pointing towards a fundamental shift in the stock, i.e., there are more net buyers than net sellers in the market.
By combining the various types of analysis, one can increase one's chances of finding the bottom of any market or specific stock.
Going from the overall stock market and then looking at specific sectors is the first way towards finding the bottom of the market. If the overall market and the specific sector have turned bullish, move on to the next step.
Then, look at the price analysis. Do you see a lot of green candles and bullish price patterns? Or perhaps you can see some reversal patterns on the charts? Anything that points towards a potential reversal is a good sign.
For the last step, look at the volume analysis. There are various ways of looking at the volume, but increased bullish volume is what you are looking out for!
Combine it all together, and you will have a perfect strategy to forecast the bottom of any stock or market.
There is no doubt that there is money to be made if one can correctly figure out the bottom of a market at just the right time! Take advantage of the strategies mentioned above to get a trading edge.
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When choosing a broker for Investment Platforms trading, it's essential to compare the different options available to you. Our Investment Platforms brokerage comparison table below allows you to compare several important features side by side, making it easier to make an informed choice.
By comparing these essential features, you can choose a Investment Platforms broker that best suits your needs and preferences for Investment Platforms. Our Investment Platforms broker comparison table simplifies the process, allowing you to make a more informed decision.
Here are the top Investment Platforms.
Compare Investment Platforms brokers for min deposits, funding, used by, benefits, account types, platforms, and support levels. When searching for a Investment Platforms broker, it's crucial to compare several factors to choose the right one for your Investment Platforms needs. Our comparison tool allows you to compare the essential features side by side.
All brokers below are Investment Platforms. Learn more about what they offer below.
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Broker | IC Markets | Roboforex | eToro | XTB | XM | Pepperstone | AvaTrade | FP Markets | EasyMarkets | SpreadEx | FXPro |
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Regulation | Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC), Financial Services Authority (FSA), Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC) | RoboForex Ltd is regulated by the FSC, license 000138/437, reg. number 128.572. RoboForex Ltd, which is an (A category) member of The Financial Commission, also is a participant of its Compensation Fund | FCA (Financial Conduct Authority) eToro (UK) Ltd (FCA reference 583263), eToro (Europe) Ltd CySEC (Cyprus Securities Exchange Commission), ASIC (Australian Securities and Investments Commission) eToro AUS Capital Limited ASIC license 491139, CySec (Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission under the license 109/10), FSAS (Financial Services Authority Seychelles) eToro (Seychelles) Ltd license SD076 | FCA (Financial Conduct Authority reference 522157), CySEC (Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission reference 169/12), FSCA (Financial Sector Conduct Authority), XTB AFRICA (PTY) LTD licensed to operate in South Africa, KPWiG (Polish Securities and Exchange Commission), DFSA (Dubai Financial Services Authority), DIFC (Dubai International Financial Center), CNMV (Comisión Nacional del Mercado de Valores), KNF (Komisja Nadzoru Finansowego), IFSC (Belize International Financial Services Commission license number IFSC/60/413/TS/19) | Financial Services Commission (FSC), Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC), Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) | Financial Conduct Authority (FCA), Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC), Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC), Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin), Dubai Financial Services Authority (DFSA), Capital Markets Authority of Kenya (CMA), Pepperstone Markets Limited is incorporated in The Bahamas (number 177174 B), Licensed by the Securities Commission of the Bahamas (SCB) number SIA-F217 | Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC), ASIC (406684), Financial Services Authority (FSA), South African Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA), Financial Stability Board (FSB), The Financial Services Agency (JAPAN FSA), Financial Futures Association of Japan (FFAJ), Abu Dhabi Global Markets (ADGM), Financial Regulatory Services Authority (FRSA), Polish Financial Supervision Authority (KNF), Israel Securities Association (ISA), British Virgin Islands Financial Services Commission (BVI), BVI (SIBA/L/13/1049), Central Bank of Ireland | Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC), Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC), FSCA (FSP Number 50926), Capital Markets Authority (CMA), Securities Commission of the Bahamas (SCB) | Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC), Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC), Financial Services Authority (FSA), British Virgin Islands Financial Services Commission (BVI) | Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) | Financial Conduct Authority (FCA), Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC), Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA), Securities Commission of the Bahamas (SCB) |
Min Deposit | 200 | 10 | 100 | No minimum deposit | 5 | 200 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 1 | 100 |
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Used By | 180,000+ | 1,000,000+ | 30,000,000+ | 935,000+ | 10,000,000+ | 400,000+ | 300,000+ | 10,000+ | 142,500+ | 10,000+ | 1,866,000+ |
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Platforms | MT4, MT5, Mirror Trader, Web Trader, cTrader, Windows, Mac, iOS, Android | MT4, MT5, Mac, Web Trader, Tablet & Mobile apps | Web Trader, Tablet & Mobile apps | MT4, Mirror Trader, Web Trader, Tablet & Mobile apps | MT4, MT5, Mac, Web Trader, Tablet & Mobile apps | MT4, MT5, TradingView, DupliTrade, myFXbook, Mac, Web Trader, cTrader, Tablet & Mobile apps | Web Trader, MT4, MT5, AvaTradeGo, AvaOptions, DupliTrade, ZuluTrade, Mobile Apps, ZuluTrade, DupliTrade, MQL5 | MT4, MT5, IRESS, Mac, Web Trader, Tablet & Mobile apps | MT4, MT5, Web Trader, TradingView, Tablet & Mobile apps | Web Trader, Tablet & Mobile apps | MT4, MT5, cTrader, Tablet & Mobile apps |
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Risk Warning | Losses can exceed deposits | Losses can exceed deposits | 76% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. | 76-85% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. | CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 72.89% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. | 74-89 % of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs | 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider | Losses can exceed deposits | Your capital is at risk | Losses can exceed deposits | 75.78% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs and Spread Betting with this provider |
Demo |
IC Markets Demo |
Roboforex Demo |
eToro Demo |
XTB Demo |
XM Demo |
Pepperstone Demo |
AvaTrade Demo |
FP Markets Demo |
easyMarkets Demo |
SpreadEx Demo |
FxPro Demo |
Excluded Countries | US, IR, CA, NZ, JP | AU, BE, BQ, BR, CA, CW, CZ, DE, ES, EE, EU, FM, FR, FI, GW, ID, IR, JP, LR, MP, NL, PF, PL, RU, SE, SJ, SS, SL, SI, TL, TR, DO, US, IT, AT, PT, BG, HR, CY, DK, FL, GR, IE, LV, LT, MT, RO, SK, CH | ZA, ID, IR, KP, BE, CA, JP, SY, TR, IL, BY, AL, MD, MK, RS, GN, CD, SD, SA, ZW, ET, GH, TZ, LY, UG, ZM, BW, RW, TN, SO, NA, TG, SL, LR, GM, DJ, CI, PK, BN, TW, WS, NP, SG, VI, TM, TJ, UZ, LK, TT, HT, MM, BT, MH, MV, MG, MK, KZ, GD, FJ, PT, BB, BM, BS, AG, AI, AW, AX, LB, SV, PY, HN, GT, PR, NI, VG, AN, CN, BZ, DZ, MY, KH, PH, VN, EG, MN, MO, UA, JO, KR, | US, IN, PK, BD, NG , ID, BE, AU | US, CA, IL, IR | AF, AS, AQ, AR, AM, AZ, BY, BE, BZ, BT, BA, BI, CM, CA, CF, TD, CG, CI, ER, GF, PF, GP, GU, GN, GW, GY, HT, VA, IR, IQ, JP, KZ, LB, LR, LY, ML, MQ, YT, MZ, MM, NZ, NI, KP, PS, PR, RE, KN, LC, VC, WS, SO, GS, KR, SS, SD, SR, SY, TJ, TN, TM, TC, US, UY, VU, VG, EH, ES, YE, ZW, ET | BE, BR, KP, NZ, TR, US, CA, SG | US, JP, NZ | US, IL, BC, MB, QC, ON, AF, BY, BI, KH, KY, TD, KM, CG, CU, CD, GQ, ER, FJ, GN, GW, HT, IR, IQ, LA, LY, MZ, MM, NI, KP, PW, PA, RU, SO, SS, SD, SY, TT, TM, VU, VE, YE | US, TR | US, CA, IR |
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Please note that CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 76% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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